31 May: State Dept: SecState Lunch Meeting with Outside Population Policy Experts

State Dept: 114. Memorandum of Conversation, Washington, May 31, 1974, 1 p.m. Subject: Secretary’s Luncheon Meeting with outside experts.

114. Memorandum of Conversation, Washington, May 31, 1974, 1 p.m.

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Washington, May 31, 1974, 1 p.m.

DEPARTMENT OF STATE
Memorandum of Conversation

DATE: MAY 31, 1974

TIME: 1:00 p.m.
PLACE; Madison/Monroe Dining Room

SUBJECT: Secretary’s Luncheon Meeting with outside exports

Participants:
Philip Handler, Presidient, National Academy of Sciences
Eugene Skolnikoff, Director of Center for International Studies, MIT
Richard Gardner, Professor of International Law, Columbia University Law School
Hans Landsberg, head of the resources and energy office of Resoruces for the Future, Inc.
Richard Cooper, Professor of Econonmics, Yale Univeristy
Lester Brown, Director, Global Interdependence Project, Overseas Development Council
The Secretary
Mr. Parker, AID Administrator
Mr. Sisco
Mr. Lord
Mr. Enders
Mr. Boeker, S/P (note-taker)

DISTRIBUTION: S/S

Mr. GARDNER: It is very good of you to keep the luncheon appointment with us; we are suprised and delighted.

THE SECRETARY: There was just not another good day for some time, and I wanted to have this discussion. I have made this UN Speech. It reflects that sometimes the best way to make policy is to announce it and then see what needs to be done to implement it. I have announced that we are willing to do something and I am willing to ram it through the government if we have a good program. Winston, how would you like to proceed?

MR. LORD: I asked each of our guests to look at your UN Speech and to consider what are the implications of some recent events. The question is how we should now move out, with the UN Speech as a starting point but not confining our discussion to that framework.

[Omitted here is discussion unrelated to food policy.]

MR. BROWN: Quite simply, we have a trend of rising food prices and this has led to a reversal, for the first time, of the trends of declining death rates and improving nutrition. I feel that a global strategy must be based on a shift in emphasis from increasing supply to reducing demand — most centrally population growth. Our standing predictions on population growth are no longer possible. Something has to give, the birth rate or the death rate.

THE SECRETARY: I wanted to use this meeting to see how you see these new issues. Watergate or not this Administration has to turn to the task of handing over the job to others. By that time we can at least define the issues. We can get going by defining what the problems are and what are the directions in which we should be moving. I would like to get together on this, during the week of June 19-25. Can you (Mr. Lord) set this up? Will two hours do it?

MR. BROWN: Yes. We (Handler and Brown) have a group that will be ready with something by then.

THE SECRETARY: You (Mr. Handler) can get a group set up on science and technology questions for a session around the end of July.

MR. GARDNER: One other thing I would like to mention is the UN Population Conference in August.

THE SECRETARY: Frankly I’m not sure I knew there was one.

MR. GARDNER: If you indicate a desire to go, it will change the whole thing. For example, the Soviets will have to recognize this problem.

TRE SECRETARY: Who is coming to the Conference?

MR. GARDNER: That’s still unclear.

TRE SECRETARY : Who are we planning to send? (Turning to mr. Enders) Are you confirmed Yet?

MR. ENDERS: No, so I can’t go.

Mr. GARDNER: The point is population is important and we have to do what we do on this question in a multilateral framework.

THE SECRETARY: What do we want to do?

MR. GARDNER: I have brought along a written proposal which I will leave. First we want each country to set a population target; only a handful have done so. The urgency is not recognized. For examnle, when I talked to the Algerians, they shrugged off the by asserting that Algeria could support double its present population. They seemed shocked when I told them the demographic mathematics were such that they needed to start new programs yesterday if their objective was to keep their population from going much beyond double the present level. Second, we want an obilgation on each country to report to the UN what it is done.

THE SECRETARY: Who is handling this in the Department?

MR. ENDERS: Phil Claxton.

THE SECRETNRY: Someone said there is a NSSM on Population.

MR. LORD: We are doing this and it should be completed shortly.

MR. GARDNER: The third thing we need is a stratetgy for reducing fertility — to include action on wome’s riqhts, jobs, education and econbmic development.

MR. SKOLNIKOFP: The last point is the important one.

MR.BROWN: That’s right. Historically birth rates have declined only where standards of living are rising so that personal security is established apart from having children. The problem is reproducing out of desperation. “

THE SECRETARY: How do you reproduce out of desperation?

MR. HANDLER: With high infant Mortality you have many children to assure that some are around later to do the work and take care of you. But returning to the broader issue, the specter that bothers me is that we night provide just enough food aid to keep people alive but not to raise their level of nutrition and standard of Ilviag.

Mr. PARKER: We are Proposing that food aid be accompanied by conditions in the population field.

MR. HANDLER: How do you do that internationally without appearing racist? You have to convince the LDCs that population control is in their interest not ours.

MR. BROWN: One problem is that the United States is among those many countries that does not have a population target.

MR. HANDLER: We could get one merely by making explicit what we know is going to happen anyway.

[Omitted here is discussion unrelated to food policy.]

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  1. Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, P820050–0597. Confidential; Nodis. Approved by Bremer on June 19. The meeting took place in the Madison/Monroe dining room. For Kissinger’s address to the Sixth Special Session of the United Nations General Assembly on April 15, see Department of State Bulletin, May 6, 1974, pp. 477–482. The referenced NSSM on population is published as Document 113.
  2. Kissinger discussed international population policy with a group of experts from outside government.

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