“Investigation shows that whenever two nations have become engaged in warfare they have been advancing on converging lines of (resource acquisition for growing consumption or procreation) self-interest and aggrandizement. When the contact takes place, the struggle for supremacy, or even survival is at hand. This inevitable hour is approximately fixed and determined by the angles of convergence plus the sum of the relative (consumption / breeding war) speed by which the nations are moving along their respective lines. Thus it is that, when the angle of (breeding / consumption war) convergence of both or even one of the nations is acute and the speed or progress along one or both of the converging lines correspondingly great, war results in a few years or decades.” – Homer Lea, Valour of Ignorance
“This book will someday be studied by thousands of people. Lea understood more about world politics than all the cabinet ministers now in office.” — Vladimir Lenin, about Valour of Ignorance, by “Martial Monk” Homer Lea, which became compulsory reading for Japanese and West Point cadets.
“Just quoting military gospel – according to Homer Lea.” .. [..] You see,” the Colonel said, “thirty-five years ago, a strange young man who called himself “General” Homer Lea, wrote a book about a war to come between America and Japan. In it he described, in minutest details the Jap campaigns against the Phillipines, Hawaii, Alaska and California.” “A sort of American Nostradamus?” The Colonel said, “Not at all. Homer Lea was neither a mystic nor a prophet. He was a scientist. He studied the science of war – the fundamental laws of which are as immutable as those of any other science. He also sought to analyze the causes of war and diagnose the symptoms of an approaching conflict.” — Preface: Valour of Ignorance, by Homer Lea.
Overpopulation & Consumption as Source of Scarcity & Resource Wars
Documents available & to be added:
- March 1977: CIA Intel Memo: The Impending Soviet Oil Crisis (ER 77-10147)
- 1974: NSSM: National Security Study Memorandum: Implications for Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security and Overseas Interests (The Kissinger Report)
- 25 April 1994: Butts, Kent: Environmental Security: A DoD Partnership for Peace; US Army War College
- Dec 1994: Dept of the Army, Field Manual 100-23, Peace Operations
- 1995: White House: National Security Strategy: A National Security Strategy for Engagement and Enlargement
- April 1996: MAJ William E David, USA Military Intelligence: Environmental Scarcity as a Cause of Violent Conflict, School of Advanced Military Studies; United States Army Command and General Staff College
- 1996: Peters, R: The Culture of Future Conflict, US Army War College: Parameters: Winter 1995-96, pp 18-27
- Spring 1997: Archived: Commentary No 71: Environmental Scarcity and Conflict, by Peter Gizewski; Canada Security Intelligence Service
- 13 Mar 1997: Col BX Bush: Promoting Environmental Security during Contingency Operations; US Army War College
- 10 Apr 2000: LTC Kurt F Ubbeholde: Freshwater Scarcity in the Nile River Basin, US Army War College.
- July 2001: CIA: Long Term Global Demographic Trends: Reshaping the Geopolitical Landscape.
- 2004: Israel: Demography 2004-2020: In light of the process of Disengagement. 2004 Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- 24 Oct 2006: Murphy,R: US Army Strategy of the Environment, Office of the Dep Asst Sec of the Army, Environment, Safety & Occup. Health: Assistant for Sustainability
- 2006: Israel: Demography 2006-2020. In light of the process of Disengagement. 2006. Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- April 2007: Center for Naval Analysis: National Security and the Threat of Climate Change
- 2007: Israel: Demography and Density 2007-2020. Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- June 2008: Testimony of Vice Admiral Paul G Gaffney: PHSCI, Subcommittee on Intelligence Community Management and House Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming
- 6 Nov 2008: Prof Al Bernstein Lecture Series: School of Advanced International Studies, Remarks by General Peter W Chiarelli
- May 2009: CNA: Powering America’s Defense: Energy and the Risks to National Security
- 2009: Prof John Beddington: Food, Energy, Water and the Climate: A Perfect Storm of Global Events
- July 2010: CNA: Powering America’s Economy: Energy Innovation at the Crossroads of National Security Challenge
- 12 Jan 2010: Dev, Concepts & Doctrine Ctr (CDCD): Strategic Trends Programm: Global Strategic Trends – Out to 2040
- Sep 2010: Bundeswehr: Peak Oil: Security Policy Implications of Scarce Resources
- 2010: US Joint Forces Command: Joint Operating Environment 2010
- 2010: Israel: Demography 2010-2030: On the Way to a Religious State. 2010. Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- 2010: White House: National Security Strategy
- 22 Feb 2011: Senate Committee on Foreign Relations: Avoiding Water Wars: Water Scarcity and Central Asia’s Growing Importance for Stability in Afghanistan and Pakistan
- 2012: Israel, Demography 2012-2030: On the Way to a Religious State. 2012. Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- 02 Feb 2012: Defense Intelligence Agency: Global Water Security
- 2012 July: DNI Director of Environment & Natural Resources: Maj Gen Engel: Briefing: Water Research
- Dec 2012: DNI: National Intelligence Council: Global Trends 2030
- January 2012: Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for the 21st Century Defense
- Dec 2012: U.S. Forest Service: Report Predicts a Strain on Natural Resources Due to Rapid Population Growth.
- 2012: United States Army & TRADOC: US Army Unified Quest 2012 Fact Sheet, Unified Quest 2012 is the Army Chief of Staff’s Annual Title 10 Future Study Plan (FSP)
- 2013: Israel: Demography 2013-2034: Challenges and Chances. 2013. Evgenia Bystrov & Arnon Soffer
- 2014: Dept of Defense: Quadrennial Defense Review
- 2014: 2012&2014 NASA Funded Studies: Human (Predator) and Nature (Prey) Dynamics (HANDY) Studies.
Control of Reproduction: Human Factory Farming War Economy Racket [PDF] | Control of Consumption: Global Corporate Cultural Imperialism Racket [PDF] | SS-DEFCON 3: Ecological Overshoot [PDF] | SS-DEFCON 2: Scarcity Conflict [PDF]